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LIVE: Regional Challenges and Strategic Stability. An Expert Discussion
Igor Chernov
Mario Corti
Pavel Cheremisin
Steve Clemons
Luis Castillo Argañarás
Lora Chkoniya
Alan W. Cafruny
Brahma Chellaney
Elena Chernenko
Alan W. Cafruny
United States
Professor of International Affairs on the faculty of Government, Hamilton College (USA).

He is the author of numerous books and scholarly articles, including The European Union and Global Capitalism: Origins, Development, Crisis (co-authored with Magnus Ryner, Palgrave, 2017) and Europe at Bay: In the Shadow of US Hegemony (co-authored with Magnus Ryner, Lynne Rienner, 2007). His articles have appeared in a variety of journals in the United States and Europe, including the New Left Review, International Organization, Review of International Political Economy, New Political Economy, and the International Spectator. He is a former member of the Executive Committee of the European Studies Association (EUSA). He was Visiting Professor (1993-4) and External Professor (1994-2000) in the Department of Political and Social Sciences at the European University Institute (Florence, Italy).
Materials
Opinions
Transatlantic Relations After Trump: Prospects for a Reset
The election of Joe Biden, a longstanding proponent of free trade and Atlanticism and one of the architects of the Transpacific Partnership, was celebrated throughout much of Europe and especially in Brussels, Paris, and Berlin, from which a torrent of position papers and proposals advancing the theme of transatlantic reset emerged, writes Valdai Club expert Alan Cafruny.
02.03.2021
Opinions
Economic Consequences of the US Elections
The economic and social impact of neoliberal policies and practices informed the populist rhetoric that carried Trump to the White House in 2016. However, Trump assembled “the wealthiest cabinet in modern history” and governed on behalf of the major power centers of corporate America. While Biden is certain to reject Trump’s combative protectionist rhetoric, the substance of policy towards China is unlikely to depart from the present mix of military and high-tech confrontation and Wall Street’s further penetration into China’s capital markets, writes Valdai Club expert Alan W. Cafruny.
27.10.2020
Opinions
The 2020 Presidential Election: The Democratic Party at the Crossroads
The Democratic Party leaders are reprising Clinton’s 2016 strategy. They are overlooking Biden’s manifold and glaring weaknesses as a presidential candidate. By alienating Sanders’ large and passionate base, they bring the survival of the party itself into question.
11.03.2020
Opinions
The Trade War in 2020: The U.S. and China Move to Phase Two
The phase two negotiations will take place against a backdrop of a highly polarizing presidential campaign. Notwithstanding a low nominal unemployment rate, after three years in office Trump can offer little more than rhetoric to the working class segment of his base.
14.01.2020
Opinions
Trump, the Deep State, and US Policy Towards Syria: No End to ‘Forever Wars’
The Trump administration is under strong pressure to reassert power in Syria, but its position has been weakened and its options short of military escalation are limited, writes Valdai Club expert Alan W. Cafruny.
01.11.2019
Opinions
Bretton Woods at 75
One lesson from Bretton Woods is the historically close association of hegemony with international monetary stability, a thesis that, not surprisingly, has been virtually axiomatic among U.S. scholars ever since the early 1970s. Notwithstanding the rhetoric, post-war cooperation was based on U.S. power and preferences.
22.08.2019
Opinions
America First Principle and Trade War Against China
Both the USA and China would lose from a trade war. Together, the two countries account for 40% of the world economy and so Europe, whose economy is already slowing dramatically, would be caught in the crossfire, as would emerging markets and, to some extent, Russia.
15.07.2019
Opinions
Europe in the Sino-U.S. Rivalry
It is becoming more difficult for Europe to preserve the delicate economic balance between Washington and Beijing. In March, the European Commission designated China as a “systemic rival” and “economic competitor” even as Italy and many central and eastern European countries signed on to the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
18.06.2019
Opinions
The Atlantic Alliance Turns 70: What Future for Europe?
There is growing interest in a comprehensive NATO response to China, first proposed by Stoltenberg at the Munich Security Conference in January, and reaffirmed in Washington by US and German officials. Such a response would correspond to the nascent trend towards bifurcation resulting from the US containment strategy.
11.04.2019
Opinions
United States, China, and European Union: Resolving Underlying Conflicts
The year 2019 might also see the further unfolding of the trend towards global bifurcation. Many U.S. firms are gradually shifting their supply chains out of China to other Asian countries, or contemplating this step. The United States is also placing more pressure on its central and eastern European NATO allies to support its containment strategy.
23.01.2019
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