Globalization and Sovereignty
Corridors of Resilience: India’s Emerging Eurasian Strategy

The International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and the Chabahar Port in Iran have become the backbone of India’s effort to secure alternative connectivity into Eurasia. These are not projects of ambition but of insurance, designed to keep the trade moving even when the maritime trade is disrupted and the markets turn uncertain, writes Rupal Mishra.

The global trading map is under pressure. The Red Sea crisis and the geopolitical disruptions near the Suez Canal have shown how easily a single chokepoint can shake up the world’s supply chains. According to Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency (ICRA), freight costs on Suez-linked routes rose by around 122 percent, triggered by Houthi attacks on commercial vessels in late 2023, as ships were forced to detour around the Cape of Good Hope. For India, a nation that depends on sea routes for over 90 percent of its trade (by volume), maritime volatility is not just a logistical concern but also a strategic warning. In response, New Delhi is looking inland. The International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and the Chabahar Port in Iran have become the backbone of India’s effort to secure alternative connectivity into Eurasia. These are not projects of ambition but of insurance, designed to keep the trade moving even when the maritime trade is disrupted and the markets turn uncertain.

In June 2024, Russia dispatched the first two coal-laden freight trains to India via the INSTC, marking a major milestone in operationalising the Russia–India multimodal logistics agreement. The construction on Rasht–Astara railway link, a strategic missing link of INSTC, is expected to begin in early 2026, with the backing of US $1.6 billion Russian investment. Once completed, it will fully connect India’s western ports with Russia and Europe through Iran and the Caspian Sea ports, cutting the Mumbai–St Petersburg transit time from nearly 40 days via the Suez route to about 20–25 days. Thus, INSTC corridor offers nearly 40 percent shorter and 30 percent cheaper route. For India, whose oil & gas imports reached nearly US $176 billion in 2024–25, this diversification carries strategic weight. Yet the corridor’s promise extends beyond oil, it can channel the new energy economy viz chemicals, machinery, renewables, base metals, transport equipment and critical minerals – where Russia and Kazakhstan seek technology partnerships. According to some studies, once operational, this route could unlock an export potential of US $180 billion – nine times India’s current trade with the INSTC members. Unlocking even a fraction of this would turn connectivity from a strategic aspiration into a market reality.

Transport Corridors as a Geopolitical Instrument
Marina Beloglazova
The assertion that transport corridors can be used as geopolitical instruments is a common one in contemporary socio-political discourse. We encounter it most frequently in the context of China’s drive for dominance, particularly in the Belt and Road strategy, and in connection with Russia’s control over Eurasian land transit. This may seem like an obvious statement, but it’s not, writes Marina Beloglazova. This material was prepared specifically for the 16th Asian Conference of the Valdai Discussion Club.

Opinions

India’s interests in Eurasia are threefold – access, diversification, and agency. With no direct land border to Central Asia or Afghanistan, corridors like the INSTC provide gateways to regions long blocked by Pakistan’s denial of transit. While the maritime Vladivostok–Chennai route links India to the Russian Far East. These networks open markets for Indian chemicals and machinery and secure overland access to resource rich regions of Russia, Afghanistan, and Central Asia. The second area of interest for India is diversification. As the global supply chains are increasingly getting fragmented, diversification of routes, currencies, and partnerships has become a new form of sovereignty. Further, agency forms the third important priority for India. New Delhi seeks a seat at the table where the rules of continental trade are written. Ongoing FTA negotiations with the Eurasian Economic Union, India’s role in the Ashgabat Agreement, and the long-term management of Chabahar all reflect a gradual move from corridor use to corridor governance.

Notwithstanding above developments, several challenges exist. The INSTC runs through Iran and Russia, zones shadowed by sanctions, thus creating challenges in completing the projects. Even as India secured a six-month US waiver for Chabahar access after the September 2025 snap-back of Iran sanctions, the underlying finance and insurance ecosystem remains fragile: banks hesitate, insurers demand steep premiums, and the private sector still views corridor trade as a state-driven venture rather than a commercial opportunity. On the ground, physical and regulatory mismatches persist – from rail-gauge incompatibility across the Caspian network to uneven customs harmonisation and the limited adoption of the digital eTIR (Transports Internationaux Routiers) system, which still excludes multimodal rail-sea links. 

Caspian port capacity is improving, but the traffic remains modest compared to maritime routes. In effect, the legal and physical foundations for seamless transit exist, but the connective tissue – finance, insurance, and execution – remains to be streamlined.

To make trade flow smoothly along these corridors, logistical reforms need to supplemented with the financial reforms. India has already made notable progress by expanding the use of local currencies in cross-border trade. In August 2025, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) simplified rupee–rouble trade settlements by allowing authorised banks to open Special Rupee Vostro Accounts (SRVAs) without prior approval and enabling surplus rupee balances to be invested in government securities and treasury bills. This reform has streamlined invoicing, payments, and settlements, cutting conversion costs and delays for Indian importers while offering Russian exporters a stable channel to hold and utilise rupee earnings. Complementing this, the Financial Benchmarks India Limited (FBIL) plans to expand rupee reference rates beyond the dollar and euro to include major partner currencies – enabling direct rupee pairs and reducing dependence on dollars.

Once dedicated credit, insurance, and investment mechanisms mature, perhaps through collaboration with the EXIM Bank of India, BRICS New Development Bank, and Eurasian Development Bank – India can translate these institutional reforms into commercial momentum, enabling the private sector to find the corridor truly viable. For India it is really important that the private sector, particularly firms in logistics, energy, and manufacturing, also views Eurasia not as a risk zone but as a frontier of growth.

The geopolitical shifts around Eurasia are opening a narrow but valuable window for India. Russia’s pivot towards Asia, Iran’s drive to become a regional transit hub, and India’s logistical and financial reforms together give the INSTC its strongest momentum since its inception in 2000. For New Delhi the Eurasian corridor are a tool to diversify risks, not to project power. It is an extension of strategic autonomy into logistics and finance. The coming years will test whether the INSTC can move beyond state-led diplomacy to genuine commercial traction. Success will depend on the speed of coordination among the nations, the confidence of private investors, and the predictability of regional politics. For Delhi, the objective is clear, to secure access and agency in continental Eurasia without being drawn into its rivalries.

Globalization and Sovereignty
Who’s Driving Wedges in the Eurasian Transport Corridors?
Aleksandar Mitić
The ire directed at Belgrade for not “harmonising” its policies with the EU underscores the fact that in the era of multi-polarisation, particularly in the context of the conflict in Ukraine, Brussels is unwilling to tolerate geopolitical dissonance, writes Aleksandar Mitić, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for the Belt and Road Studies at the Institute of International Politics and Economics in Belgrade, Serbia.
Opinions
Views expressed are of individual Members and Contributors, rather than the Club's, unless explicitly stated otherwise.