Valdai Club

On October 2, the 1st round of general elections took place in Brazil: Brazilians voted to choose the president, the entire lower house of parliament, a third of the senate and many governors. However, the focus of the world’s attention, without exaggeration, was on the presidential elections. After all, the question ‘who will be president of Brazil’ is by no means an idle one. It concerns the country's further development, the direction of its foreign policy, its positioning in the international arena in the light of Brazil's upcoming G20 chairmanship in 2024, the country's role in the UN and especially in its Security Council, where in 2022-2023 Brazil remains as a non-permanent member.

Will center-left politicians manage to prevent a social disaster without reliable sources of funding that could be used for carrying out reforms and, by contrast, will the right forces manage to alleviate social tensions by pursuing a flexible social policy? For now, there is no positive answer to this question.

The "updated" Brazil will not make any sudden moves and walk away from any international associations. Brazil will remain in the BRICS group, but the activity will be more muted.

Brazil will continue to play its role under the old rules, even being weakened.