Valdai Club

The long-term developmental trajectory of Turkey’s international status depends on the country’s capacity to bridge the rift between ambitions and capabilities. The most important domestic prerequisites are economic stabilisation and political consolidation, while the necessary external opportunities are created with structural shifts in the international system, writes Nubara Kulieva.

According to surveys, the most popular political party in Turkey is the opposition CHP (Republican People's Party ) (33.1%), while the Justice and Development Party AKP is only second (30.2%). This makes it necessary to find ways to strengthen the position of the AKP and Erdogan personally and create favourable conditions for his nomination for president in the upcoming elections. One of the possible tools for this is to change the current constitution, writes Nubara Kuliyeva.

Before the 2023 elections, the issue of Turkish policy in the Middle East, directly related to national security and the economic situation, turned out to be especially important in the context of the domestic political struggle, Nubara Kulieva writes.

For a long time, Turkey’s military industry has been critically dependent on Western financing, institutions and technology, the fragmentary manifestations and consequences of which persist today. However, during the AKP period, the Turkish military-industrial complex has gone through two main stages of development: eliminating external dependence and developing the country’s internal potential and introducing a high-tech component of the military-industrial complex and entering the international market, writes Nubara Kulieva, a participant in the Valdai – New Generation project..