Such an opinion clearly shows that East-West relations remain closely interconnected, and given the a sharp turbulence of the current situation, few can stand aside, especially the leading powers, including important regional blocs and structures.
The problem is that the aforementioned practice of achieving selfish goals by only looking for enemies has long ago exhausted its usefulness. Clifford Kupchan, a senior fellow at the US Council on Foreign Relations, rightly noted that if the United States simultaneously regards China and Russia as its enemies, “Life will show that the West will have to face not only the Sino-Russian bloc, but also a much larger number of countries that unite to defend their interests and rebuild the world order.” This thesis, at least, has been clearly proven in Asia, where Indonesian President Joko Widodo refused to take part in “sectarianism” or join circles when he firmly invited Russia to the G20 summit. Moreover, the ASEAN mechanism, which has survived more than half a century, is operating in Asia. Since 1967, the low-key ASEAN countries have quietly achieved strong and peaceful economic growth comparable to that of the world’s major powers. In this process, neutrality and a refusal to take sides have become effective principled positions for the ASEAN states. The facts prove that the ASEAN model is more beneficial to Asia than the NATO model.
Second, with the approach of the US midterm elections, inflationary pressure there is increasing, and the results of opinion polls for John Biden remain unsatisfactory. Therefore, on the one hand, the United States continues to exert military pressure on Russia, hoping to break the resistance of its long-term strategic adversary. On the other hand, over the past two months, Washington has repeatedly signalled that it is not seeking victory, but a final solution to the Ukraine problem through peaceful negotiations. A daily review of various sources allows me to assume that the information space is probably underestimating the huge amount of anti-war pressure in the United States itself; we are talking about both the Democratic Party and the academic elite, as well as retired high-ranking officials and business executives. In fact, there has been a large number of calls to stop heating up the situation around Ukraine. In addition, if the Democrats lose the midterm elections, or if the Republicans come to power in 2024, then the Russian-Ukrainian war could take a fundamentally different turn. Over time, similar changes will occur in Europe. So it’s not hard to explain why the impact of European and US sanctions against Russia is starting to wane.
All in all, countries opposed to sanctions targeting Russia and unwilling to choose sides far outnumber the 30 or 40 countries that Europe and the US have colluded with, especially the BRICS, SCO, ASEAN, and countries in the Middle East. Moreover, during the Russian-Georgian war in 2008 and the Crimean crisis in 2014, even such key countries as India steadily maintained their neutrality. It is quite possible that this huge group of countries will rally even more and further calls for peace and stability, an opposition to sanctions and an unwillingness to choose sides.