Valdai Club

One of the fundamental problems that the Taliban has faced since the restoration of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) in 2021 has been difficulty in gaining full official recognition in the international arena. In order to solve this problem, the Taliban have been actively operating in many areas for four years now, demonstrating signs of strategic patience and flexibility, and playing on the interests of external forces.

The United States, the Taliban and Kabul will have to find a mutually beneficial formula that would primarily remove the sides’ distrust towards each other and solve the problem of their divergent strategic interests. This is, without a doubt, a most difficult dilemma and the effort to solve it is likely to emerge as one of the key Afghan political issues in 2020.        

The reality of scientific and technological progress will certainly make its own adjustments, making FIR one of the key components in the process of forecasting processes in Greater Eurasia.