Russia-Japan Summit Could Improve Relations, but No Breakthrough Expected

With the visit of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to Russia for a summit with President Vladimir Putin expected in April, Russia and Japan continue to have unsolved questions regarding their relationship. Masahiro Akiyama, Chairman of the Society of Security and Diplomatic Policy Studies (SSDP)  told about the prospects of resolving past issues and moving forward.

“I don't think the Russia-Japan 2+2 meeting could bring a breakthrough in the sovereignty issue soon, but if it develops as a full-fledged and substantial process, it will at least take the bilateral relations to a new level,” Akiyama told

Akiyama noted that while Shinzo Abe has been criticized for frequent visits to Russia that yield little progress on Japan’s island issue, it still creates hope for Abe to resolve the issues. Akiyama added that the same could be said about the recent Putin-Abe meeting in Mainland Japan.

Discussing economic agreements, which include $3 billion in Japanese investment and loans, Akiyama said that this could be an effective measure to improve Russia-Japan relations in general, calling it “a sort of pragmatic and realistic approach to reach a long-term objective.”

“Earlier this month, we witnessed discussions on the possibility of joint economic activities on the disputed islands. It has seemingly pulled back people of Japan to realize the reality, but again with hope and expectation of return of Russia-held islands together with the signing of the peace treaty,” Akiyama told

Akiyama added that it would be interesting to see how special rules for joint management of the islands could be carried out, and that this could lead to a solution of such difficult questions. “I think the related discussion could trigger a way to find a sophisticated solution of the difficult territorial disputes,” he told

“From the same realistic viewpoint, the two-plus-two meeting held in March in Tokyo sounds as a positive development in the bilateral diplomatic activities. Experts in Japan stress the importance of the two-plus-two meeting as it engages so much in the national core interests and national security as in the case that Japan and the US successfully strengthened the alliance in 1990's by launching a 2+2 ministerial meeting,” Akiyama concluded.

Views expressed are of individual Members and Contributors, rather than the Club's, unless explicitly stated otherwise.