It’s Dangerous to Normalise the Panic: Why Irrationality Is a Bigger Enemy Than Coronavirus

Human history is full of mass psychosis. We are initiated in a mythical environment which is still in our veins and manifests from time to time. The only difference today is the global mass media, instant mobile communications, the internet and social media, writes Kancho Stoychev, President of the Gallup International Association

Yesterday, 3,287 people died in car accidents across the world. And 15 times that number were seriously injured, many of them handicapped for life.

Today it’s the same. And tomorrow it will be the same.

Facts, simple statistics. Terrifying. But nobody is terrified. Nobody is closing schools, cities, borders... Nobody is banning the cars.

Yesterday, about 100 people across the world died because of a new virus. Maybe. Not that they “died maybe” – because, sorry, dying “maybe” is not yet possible. But the cause of the death is “maybe,” because most of those people were both quite old and significantly ill due to various diseases.

Schools are closing, events are postponed, megacities are blocked, normal life is cancelled...

Billions are terrified.

How come?

Human history is full of mass psychosis. We are initiated in a mythical environment which is still in our veins and manifests from time to time. The only difference today is the global mass media, instant mobile communications, the internet and social media.

The mechanism of mass psychosis is well studied and described. Basically, it’s about a synchronisation of beliefs, fears and expectations.

In their normal day-to-day lives, people look like quite different, individualised, unique. And in fact they are. In every society there are different waves of synchronisation, but they are usually localized in both regional, cultural and social class terms. And the element of a fear is always present – whether in a hidden or explicit way. Most typically, it’s provoked by a high level of uncertainty.

Because the essence of so-called public opinion is always some sanction. And when it comes to life and death fears, these sanctions are maximising.

Coronavirus Ethics: Is There a Difference Between the First and Third Worlds?
Oleg Barabanov
The outbreak of the novel coronavirus, COVID-19, has apparently spread from China to Europe in recent days. Italy was the first European country where the number of infected people reached the hundreds. The number of people infected in France and other countries is also growing; every day, the coronavirus distribution map adds new countries. And, worst of all, the increase in the number of infected people is accompanied by a growing death toll, including increasing death tolls in Europe.

The synchronisation of mass fears among people is only half of what we are witnessing nowadays.

The second half is a similar process among the different powers in every society and on the global stage. Panicked masses led by panicked elites – the result is similar to resonance in physics: the amplitude is increasing significantly.

Which at the end of the day, usually leads to irrational behaviour and further damage.

Do we still remember the global panic provoked by the so-called Millennium Bug? Or the one related to the ozone hole, which all of a sudden disappeared? There’s no need to look back – we are now passing through a new fad: so-called climate change hysteria. The climate is really changing but that has been going on constantly for millions of years.

We are polluting our natural environment significantly and we should definitely fight pollution, but the idea that the humans are changing the climate of the planet is scientifically absurd. Nevertheless, many scientists are making good money out of it, deliberately neglecting to mention the basic fact that there is no exchange of air between the two hemispheres.

Panic is always the worst response to a real or not-so-real problem because it significantly aggravates the situation and provokes massive collateral damage. And it’s a common illusion that a centralised power or an authoritarian regime is better-positioned to deal with it. The synchronisation of the fears of the power elites is much more difficult in a democratic society and never becomes absolute, which is a warrantee which keeps rationality alive.

There is no doubt that Covid-19 is a danger and requires serious action, which are indeed being taken. But we should realise that the bigger danger and enemy is the irrationality which we humans carry in our genes. It’s normal to panic when faced with danger, but it’s dangerous to normalise the panic. Keep calm and carry on is not enough, but is a precondition for effective and rational action in a crisis environment.

The Novel Coronavirus, Geopolitics and the World Economy
Alexander Losev
The risks of the novel coronavirus outbreak becoming a global pandemic are extremely low, but if the spread of the virus becomes uncontrollable, it can negatively influence internal political processes in China itself and lead to the collapse of economies in a number of regions, as well as the emergence of refugees and mass migration, military conflicts, and humanitarian disasters.


Views expressed are of individual Members and Contributors, rather than the Club's, unless explicitly stated otherwise.