The experience of the twentieth century, acquired through incredible sacrifices and exhausting competition, was carelessly swept aside within two decades of the early 21st century. Such a mediocre squandering of previous achievements of international politics has led to the rapid bankruptcy of the West, which quite easily received the most privileges in the previous system of coordinates, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Timofei Bordachev.
Russians love to invoke the concept of the World Majority – a set of countries in the world that link their development with the main trends of globalisation, but are capable of expressing their own views on fair forms of international order. So far, this opinion has been expressed rather restrainedly, which can be explained by our common participation in a system of relations where Western countries not only play a leading role, but were also able, until a certain time, to offer relatively optimal solutions for everyone. However, recent processes, especially the crisis in the Middle East, may open a new chapter in how most countries around the world perceive the policies of the United States and Europe, as well as make it impossible to return to the previous world order.
Israel’s confrontational policy does not pose a direct threat to Russia, the United States or China, the main powers of the modern world, and they are not going to cross their swords over what the Middle East region should look like after the events of this autumn. But it would be short-sighted to underestimate the detrimental effect that some features of the position chosen by the West have had on the credibility of the United States and its allies among the world community. This means that the conditions in which the international order of the future will emerge are becoming more complicated. Let us try to summarise how the countries of the World Majority, especially the Islamic world, could evaluate the actions of our American opponents, their allies in Europe and, most importantly, the consequences of all this for international politics.
Based on the results of the countless discussions that have recently been held with colleagues from the countries of the World Majority, we can say that the most capacious characteristic they give to the behaviour of the United States is a simple statement: the West is erasing its own previous achievements. The arguments in favour of such an assessment seem to be roughly as follows: in recent days, a wave of demonstrations in support of the Palestinians besieged in the Gaza Strip has swept across the world.
Meanwhile, Western leaders, like a mantra, have repeated formulaic statements about full support and readiness to go all the way with Israel, despite their own citizens protesting against the one-sided military solution to this conflict, not to mention the people in Muslim countries. These peaceful and, so far, not-so-numerous demonstrations can be reasonably considered as harbingers of more complex processes that are brewing in light of the short-sighted policy demonstrated by representatives of the White House administration and their followers in Europe.
The most important thing that worries our colleagues in the countries of the World Majority is that several narratives, which had practically disappeared in previous years, are returning to the agenda: the United States of America and the Christian countries of the Old World bear the main responsibility for the troubles of Muslims and their destruction in wars and conflicts; they also provoke confrontations, leading to economic crises, hunger and unemployment in developing countries.
Few people now think about and calculate how much work has been invested by American and European diplomats, government and public organisations in supporting various social development programmes in Muslim countries, establishing interreligious tolerance, protecting human rights and promoting other values of the civilised world. The result of simple political manoeuvres in recent weeks has been at least an increase in terrorist threats, which has been confirmed by numerous warnings to their citizens from the authorities of the United States and other countries. A state of extreme polarisation and sustained radicalisation of citizens’ views on religious grounds promises to become everyday reality.
In the future, there is a possibility of direct involvement of the West in a military conflict in the Middle East, which risks becoming very bloody for all its participants. I would like to note that we in Russia feel much less of the threat posed by a possible new split than those colleagues who live and work in Islamic countries, which are especially sensitive to the challenges of religious radicalism and extremism.
With great bewilderment, people around the world are looking at how the leading Western media cover events according to directive patterns, and objectionable content disappears from the pages of social networks. Countries that have been severely tested and externally criticised over freedom of speech sometimes find it difficult to find the right words to speak out about the latest standards of “cutting-edge journalism” regarding the conflicts in Ukraine and Israel. The current collective policy of Western countries in the international arena increasingly nullifies the previous phenomenal successes of its “soft power”. Today, in most countries throughout the world, there is less and less interest in Western fashion and the film industry, which aggressively promote non-traditional values. The American Dream and Hollywood, instead of eliciting delight as they once did, often prompt rejection and misunderstanding. The “mainstream” set by Washington in Europe is also losing ground.
The world sees that in the West itself, more and more ordinary citizens are asking the question: how much do officials from overseas and in their own countries care about their well-being? The simultaneous growth of radical right and left-wing forces amid the complete failure of centrist parties confirms growing disagreement with the current state of affairs.
Such waste of stability and benefits is, of course, beyond the means and liking of the countries of the World Majority, where the path to prosperity is paved with hard work and is accompanied by many hardships and lurking dangers. It is also unlikely that a situation where the West is faced simultaneously with the threat of terrorism, involvement in a shooting war in the Middle East, and geopolitical and geo-economic confrontation with a group of influential world powers will delight the masses in their countries. It’s time to think about the direction in which the construction of a new world order is moving: this is the position of the majority of countries throughout the world, which need not the destruction of existing rules and norms, but their observance as the basis of international stability. Russia needs to take these approaches into account even more than its opponents in the West.
