Modern Diplomacy
Principles of Polycentricity and Security in a Changing World

The UN is a reflection of modern international relations and the main crises. The situation will not normalise until the new balance of power in the world becomes clear to everyone. The lack of a solid understanding of what such a balance should look like disorients both the apparatus of this organisation and many countries that are members of the UN General Assembly, Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov writes.

The world has entered a period of qualitative changes that will irreversibly reshape the structure of the international system and lead to a fairer balance in international affairs. Over the past 100 years, humanity has learned several important lessons from conflicts and crises. One of them is a general understanding of the value of life on the planet and the notion that humanity wields forces of destruction that are catastrophic in scale. Their careless use can lead to the end of all life. This common interest continues to unite leading countries in their desire to avoid global nuclear war and maintain the general contours of stability in international relations. However, this does not exclude regional and local military crises and conflicts.

The UN and its Security Council still serve the primary purpose for which they were created: to prevent a major nuclear war between the great powers. In this regard, we can say that the UN is still relevant.

Unfortunately, in many other circumstances, the UN, like other multilateral organisations centred on the Western world, has become a victim of manipulation by these countries.

Technical questions about the location of the secretariat of these organisations on the territory of the United States and Western European countries often lead to the fact that a Western-centric narrative, spirit and paradigm of interaction begin to reign in the apparatus of these organisations. The UN has become a victim of Western manipulation and has ceased to act as a truly multilateral platform. In the UN, we often notice regular pressure from leading Western countries on small and medium-sized countries and their representatives, many of whom have the imprudence to store their material resources and savings in Western countries or educate their children there, and thereby become sensitive to such pressure.

Norms and Values
OSCE on Artificial Life Support or a Return to the CSCE?
On December 1, 2023, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) summit in Skopje. Moderator Oleg Barabanov invited participants to discuss the present and future of the OSCE in the context of the prospects for European security as a whole.
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This suggests, that the true multilateralism and inclusiveness of this organisation are gradually being eroded away by the West. The UN reflects the civilisational diversity of modern international relations less and less. Due to its significant Western-centricity, it risks becoming an organisation that will be ineffective when compared with what it was just a few decades ago.

At the same time, the UN is a reflection of modern international relations and the main crises. The situation will not normalise until the new balance of power in the world becomes clear to everyone. The lack of a solid understanding of what such a balance should look like disorients both the apparatus of this organisation and many countries that are members of the UN General Assembly. Once the new equilibrium is determined, the key states participating in this system will determine whether there is a need to reorganise the UN, reform it, or create some other organisation that will replace the UN to intelligently regulate relations between countries.

The United States is trying to present the Ukrainian crisis as a global upheaval that will determine the character of the entire 21st century, and is offering countries a Manichaean choice between black and white. Most countries act opportunistically; they look at the opportunities that the crisis opens up for them, and try to sell their support at a higher price. At the same time, they realise that the steps that the United States is taking to punish Russia and China can very easily be applied to themselves – and they make a rational decision to join BRICS.

The fact that the expansion of BRICS occurred precisely at the peak of the largest geopolitical crisis demonstrates the high level of authority of the association.

In the 20th century, humanity was on the verge of a major nuclear collision several times, but each time common sense prevailed. The Cold War was useful in that it sobered up hotheads and made it possible to ensure that international security and stability equally affected everyone and required significant efforts to maintain them. Therefore, during the Cuban Missile Crisis and several other episodes when nuclear weapons could have been used, humanity still shied away, not allowing the leading countries to use nukes as a tool to achieve their political goals.

Unfortunately, this practice and experience is fading as a useful tool in the strategic thinking of many Western states. We hear statements that it is possible, for example, to transfer nuclear weapons to Ukraine. This makes us think about the rationality and competency of Western politicians who directly say that worse is better, without realising that this step could have huge catastrophic consequences for the whole world.

Russia, earlier than other countries, was faced with the need to determine optimal rules for interaction with the West, which would differ from what the West itself offers to all states throughout the world. These principles have been formed by Russian experts for several decades and now they are of interest in many countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America. It is possible that over time, a broad international consensus will emerge that these ideas are the most reasonable foundation for interaction between states in the 21st century.

Modern Diplomacy
The Crumbling of the World Order and a Vision of Multipolarity: The Position of Russia and the West
Andrey Sushentsov
The United States perceives peace, security, and stability as a given that happens on its own. According to Washington, no significant efforts are required to maintain it, and when there is a need, the United States itself initiates a military conflict. This is a big difference between the US and Russia: Russia understands that in order to save the world from catastrophe, the major powers must reach a consensus and maintain order in their regions, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
Opinions
Views expressed are of individual Members and Contributors, rather than the Club's, unless explicitly stated otherwise.