Valdai Club

2017

Eurasia and Asia: Development in a Rapidly Changing World

Timofei Bordachev

Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club; Academic Supervisor of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE)

For its flagship project in 2014–2016, the Valdai Club studied the dynamics and prospects of forming a Greater Eurasia and its relationship with processes underway in the Asia-Pacific region. The Valdai Club first addressed this question in late 2013, anticipating many of the political changes that subsequently occurred. It has since conducted a vast amount of research and organized a series of high profile events aimed at translating those findings into action. With the situation in the U.S., Europe, and the world undergoing major changes, this issue takes on added importance and the Valdai Club continues to expand its network of related contacts and joint research activities.

Reports

Report: A Look into the Future: Scenarios for Asia and Russia in Asia in the next 20 Years

This report outlines a number of scenarios for the paths Asia may take in the next 20 years, and what the choice of each of these paths will mean for Russia and its role in Asian affairs. These scenarios do not attempt to make an accurate prediction for specifi c events based on linear projection of current events. Rather, they pursue three goals.

Timofei Bordachev

Report: Toward the Great Ocean - 5: From The Turn To The East To Greater Eurasia

The current stage of Russia’s turn to the East was conceived in the latter half of the 2000s as a somewhat late response to Asia’s economic rise, which opened many new development opportunities for Russia, primarily its eastern regions.

Sergei Karaganov, Timofei Bordachev

Report: Reshaping Eurasian Space: Common Perspectives from China, Russia and Kazakhstan Think Tanks

Russia – China relations have reached a record level. Exchange visits between the countries and gestures of friendship have become the norm. Nevertheless, the great potential for economic and cultural cooperation remains unfulfilled. It manifests itself in protectionism, lack of mutual understanding, and irrational fears of people, being an obstacle for establishing economic and cultural ties on a long-term basis.

Timofei Bordachev, Wang Wen

Valdai Papers

The Global Resurgence of Economic Nationalism

Against a background of shifting geoeconomic power from the West to the East, economic nationalism has become the development strategy that allows rising powers to reverse negative asymmetry in interdependent economic relationships.

The New Northern Policy and Korean-Russian Cooperation

While the North Korea crisis hangs over regional and global peace, the world calls out to constructive and peaceful cooperation that can halt the ‘conflict spiral’.

Defense Through Leadership: Turkey on the Eve of Its Constitutional Referendum

The April 16 referendum will focus on power distribution rather than institution building. In other words, the organizers saw it as an opportunity to expand the President’s powers and allow him to rule longer.

Vladimir Avatkov

THE EASTERN PERSPECTIVE

Russia, China and ‘Balance of Dependence’ in Greater Eurasia

While Russia’s nascent Greater Eurasia initiative appears to be more ambitious in terms of scale, it is also more feasible due to the favourable balance of dependence.

Uncertain World Economy: Time to Manage the Global Governance

The world economy enters a new phase of prolonged recession without any breakthrough in sight. International community seems no longer capable of creating new global initiatives.