Where the Collision of Russian and Turkish Interests in the Caucasus Could Lead. Valdai Paper Presentation

On May 13 at 2 PM, the Valdai Discussion Club Conference Hall (42 Bolshaya Tatarskaya St., Moscow, Russia) will host the presentation of an analytical paper by Club expert Sergey Markedonov, associate professor at the Russian State University for the Humanities, titled “Russia-Turkey Relations and Security Issues in the Caucasus Region.”

The downing of the Russian Su-24 jet last November led Russian-Turkish relations into a state of stiff confrontation. Regional interests of Russia and Turkey diverge considerably when it comes to Syria, and there are considerable divisions over the issues of Ukraine, Crimea and the South Caucasus. The four-day conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh exhibits fragility of the ceasefire. It is possible that this sort of “trial by fire” will become a norm of regional security. Considering the strategic nature of Russian-Armenian and Turkish-Azerbaijani relations, as well as Russia’s special interest in Transcaucasia, there is a high risk of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict’s additional escalation.

The paper looks at potential scenarios of the future and offers solutions, which could help avoid tragic developments.

Discussion participants:

Andrey Sushentsov - Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club, political analyst and international affairs scholar at Moscow State Institute of International Relations of the Russian Foreign Ministry (MGIMO-University);

Sergey Markedonov - Associate Professor of the Russian State Humanitarian University;

The discussion will be moderated by Vladimir Avatkov - senior lecturer at the Diplomatic Academy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation.

Working language - Russian.

Information for media: to attend, please fill in the accreditation form or call +7 926 930 7763 (Maria Miklushevskaya, Public Relations Division).

Information for participants: if you have any questions, please contact Ruben Prazyan, Event Management and Research Programs Division, by calling +7 903 730-3118.