Expert Discussion "International Challenges-2017. Forecast of Threats to International Security and Stability."
Valdai Discussion Club Conference Hall (42 Bolshaya Tatarskaya St., Moscow, Russia)

The Valdai Discussion Club will hold an expert discussion about the international challenges in 2017 together with the presentation of the report titled "International challenges-2017. Forecast of threats to international security and stability ", prepared by the "Foreign policy" analytical agency.

We are entering the first year of a new era, where the West is no longer the undisputed global leader. However, the consequence of the old order breaking brings the unbearable uncertainty. Shocks of 2016 would be enough for a decade, and in 2017 the world will live with a hope that major surprises are left behind.

Last year was successful for Russia's foreign policy. In 2017 it will be important to maintain the positive dynamics in the Transatlantic region, Greater Eurasia and in the Middle East. For this it is necessary to ignore provocations, primarily in the European theater. A new crisis may be caused by NATO countries, desperate by lack of attention to them from the US, or by the so-called allies of Russia. Following the US, Russia informally begins to give security guarantees to countries, which are in sympathy with Moscow. This can encourage Serbia to take active steps in Kosovo or in Serbian Krajina, and Syria – to be more intransigent during peace talks. Unlikely but still possible collapse of Ukraine should not cause excessive reaction from Russia.

Authors of the report analyze twelve cases, which in 2017 may have a significant impact on the interests of Russia in the sphere of security and stability. The experts focus on the scenarios of the future Russian-American relations. They also cover trends in Ukrainian, Afghan, Iraqi and Syrian crises, scenarios for future evolution of BRICS and the EU, prospects of removing anti-Russian sanctions, and deepening relations between Russia and Japan.

Report "International Challenges-2017. Forecast of Threats to International Security and Stability" Andrey Bezrukov, Andrey Sushentsov
We are entering the first year of a new era, where the West is no longer the undisputed global leader. However, the consequence of the old order breaking brings the unbearable uncertainty. Shocks of 2016 would be enough for a decade, and in 2017 the world will live with a hope that major surprises are left behind.

Moderator:

  • Dmitry Suslov, Programme Director of the Foundation for development and support of the Valdai discussion Club, Deputy Director of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the National Research University—Higher School of Economics

Speakers:

  • Andrey Bezrukov, Associate Professor at the Russian Foreign Ministry's Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO);

  • Nikolai Silaev, senior fellow at the MGIMO Institute of International Studies;

  • Andrey SushentsovProgramme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club, head of the "Foreign Policy" agency, Associate Professor at the Russian Foreign Ministry's Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO).

Working language: Russian. 

Information for media: to attend, please fill the accreditation form or call +7 926 930 7763 (Public Relations Division).

Information for participants: if you have any questions, please contact Ruben Prazyan, Event Management and Research Programs Division, by calling +7 903 730-3118.