Director at the Institute of Strategic Studies and Analysis, Editor-in-chief of Vestnik Analitika (Analyst's Bulletin); member of the Council for Foreign and Defense Policy.
1989-1992: Head of Azerbaijan's KGB, Major-General.
1995-1996: Director of the AFK "Sistema" analytical center, Moscow.
The cost of a war against Iran – both political and economic – would be too high even for the United States. Iran is a major hub in the Greater Middle East. Once shattered by an ill-advised military operation, that country will spread instability to adjacent states with similar ethic and religious problems, such as Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iraq.
Europe is satisfied with the situation in the sphere of security characterized by Western military and political domination. It is based on the Euro-Atlantic alliance, which the United States and most European countries think proved effective during the Cold War.
The current stage of international security development has a peculiar feature: the nature of the threats that mankind currently faces. The threat of the world’s leading powers coming into military collision is slowly receding while threats common to all humanity are gaining ground.
Starting from the buoyant tone of Tony Blair's visit to Russia in 2000, Russo-British relations initially developed fairly productively in both the economic and the political fields, sowing certain hopes among many representatives of the Russian political elite. Relations began to cool noticeably after Russia spoke out against the Iraq war, although she was far from being the only opponent of this ill-considered action.
The global energy market is going through large-scale changes, some of which may reach their final phase by 2017. There are increasing signs that the traditional code of relations between energy producers and consumers, established in the last quarter of the 20th century, is becoming a thing of history. Mechanisms for regulating the global energy market no longer work. Competition between consumers, fueled by the emergence of new powerful players, like China and India, is obviously increasing.