Research Fellow, Institute for National Security Studies, Tel Aviv University. Former Israeli ambassador to Russia.
In light of the present situation in the Middle East, Russia and Israel find themselves facing common challenges. Under these newly emerging situations, Russia sees its partnership with Israel as a potential asset in resolving acute regional issues. From a Russian perspective, the compatibility of Israeli and Russian interests could contribute to such a partnership.
The fact of the recurring presence of the Russian fleet in a region in which a conflict is growing hotter constitutes a statement in and of itself. This Russian measure, accompanied by blunt rhetoric, indicates an effort at deterrence in the Syrian theater, as well as a general demonstration of force.
War is always a bad decision, for all sides. But in this case, it's not a question if it’s good or bad, it's a question of survival for Israel.
According to media reports, Israel will host Russian President-elect Vladimir Putin in the first few weeks after his inauguration. This will be his second visit to Israel, with the first taking place in 2005. The timing of Putin’s visit, which is scheduled right after a trip to the U.S., has sparked speculation about the meaning of this move.
It seems that the question of a possible war on Iran is taking center stage on Russia’s agenda as well. There is evidence of heightened diplomatic activity, along with military preparations and an expanded public debate reflecting differences of opinion within the Russian establishment.
The Russian presidential election, won – as predicted – by Vladimir Putin, was dramatic, not because of the results, which were known ahead of time, but because of the public protest of recent months that marked the election propaganda and preparations.
The Arab Spring has created a completely new situation and new imbalances in the Middle East. The changes are of tectonic proportions and it remains unclear how they will play out.
