Valdai Paper #45: Russia-Turkey Relations and Security Issues in the Caucasus

20.04.2016
Disagreements may deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The author refers in his article to one of the key security issues in 2016. Russia and Turkey remain for each other the major trading partners, but their regional interests seriously differ on Syria.

Disagreements may also deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The four-day conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in April 2016 revealed that truce in the area is tenuous. It is possible that this kind of "trial of strength" will be the norm of the regional security. Given the strategic nature of the Azerbaijani-Turkish and Armenian-Russian relations, as well as special Russian interests in the Caucasus, there is a high risk of further escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The article discusses possible scenarios and ways to avoid the most dramatic of them.

About the author:

Sergey Markedonov, Associate Professor, Department of Regional Studies and Foreign Policy, Russian State University for the Humanities, Russia.

Related articles

Expulsion of Russian diplomats Is an Act of Cold War
30.12.2016
The expulsion of the Russian diplomats is an obvious act of the Cold War. When Obama already feels neither here nor there, he shows his true attitude towards Russia and Vladimir Putin.

Expert: 
Fyodor Lukyanov

Category:
Expert opinions
A Real Opportunity to End the Conflict in Syria
30.12.2016
The new ceasefire in Syria, negotiated by Russia, Turkey and Iran, is a real opportunity to end the conflict although difficulties regarding the enforcement of the ceasefire could arise as terrorist

Category:
Expert opinions
Is Russia a European or an Asian Country?
22.12.2016
Russia’s current engagement with Asia is not wholly or even largely dependent on external pressures from the West. In fact Russia’s own geographic and demographic position make this inevitable, and

Category:
Expert opinions