Valdai Paper #45: Russia-Turkey Relations and Security Issues in the Caucasus

20.04.2016
Disagreements may deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The author refers in his article to one of the key security issues in 2016. Russia and Turkey remain for each other the major trading partners, but their regional interests seriously differ on Syria.

Disagreements may also deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The four-day conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in April 2016 revealed that truce in the area is tenuous. It is possible that this kind of "trial of strength" will be the norm of the regional security. Given the strategic nature of the Azerbaijani-Turkish and Armenian-Russian relations, as well as special Russian interests in the Caucasus, there is a high risk of further escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The article discusses possible scenarios and ways to avoid the most dramatic of them.

About the author:

Sergey Markedonov, Associate Professor, Department of Regional Studies and Foreign Policy, Russian State University for the Humanities, Russia.

Related articles

Moscow to Pursue More Independent Path Toward Political Settlement in Syria
14.04.2018
Following the US-led airstrikes against Syria, the three Astana partners are expected to revise their common goals, as well as previous agreements. This is especially important because Turkey

Expert: 
Hamidreza Azizi

Category:
Expert Opinions
Will the Ankara Summit and Russia-Turkey Relationship Change the Regional…
10.04.2018
Even though it is too early to say that cooperation with Russia will turn into a strategical partnership, it is possible to mention that common interests of Ankara and Moscow are coming closer and the

Category:
Expert Opinions
Why an Independent Syria Is Crucial for Russian, Iranian and Turkish Interests
09.04.2018
“Russia, Iran, and Turkey should remain together in helping Syria to free and rebuild herself, or accept the repercussions of Syria falling in the hands of Saudi Arabia and the United States,” Mahmoud

Category:
Expert Opinions