Valdai Paper #45: Russia-Turkey Relations and Security Issues in the Caucasus

20.04.2016
Disagreements may deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The author refers in his article to one of the key security issues in 2016. Russia and Turkey remain for each other the major trading partners, but their regional interests seriously differ on Syria.

Disagreements may also deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The four-day conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in April 2016 revealed that truce in the area is tenuous. It is possible that this kind of "trial of strength" will be the norm of the regional security. Given the strategic nature of the Azerbaijani-Turkish and Armenian-Russian relations, as well as special Russian interests in the Caucasus, there is a high risk of further escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The article discusses possible scenarios and ways to avoid the most dramatic of them.

About the author:

Sergey Markedonov, Associate Professor, Department of Regional Studies and Foreign Policy, Russian State University for the Humanities, Russia.

Related articles

Astana Talks: Opportunities and Constraints
24.01.2017
The Astana meeting was aiming at securing a ceasefire that would allow the political reform process to start in Syria. The fact that the Syrian regime and the representatives of the armed opposition

Expert: 
Yaşar Yakış

Category:
Expert Opinions
Eurasian Integration and Prospects of Emergence of a New Global Development…
11.03.2017
The second part of the visiting session began with a speech by Vache Gabrielyan, Deputy Prime Minister of Armenia, Minister of International Economic Integration and Reform. He explained in detail the

Category:
Club Events
How to Maintain Stability and Promote Development in a Rapidly Changing World
11.03.2017
On March 11, a visiting session of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Time of Change: The World in an Era of Global Unpredictability” opened in Yerevan, Armenia. The event was attended by about 100

Category:
Club Events