Valdai Paper #45: Russia-Turkey Relations and Security Issues in the Caucasus

20.04.2016
Disagreements may deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The author refers in his article to one of the key security issues in 2016. Russia and Turkey remain for each other the major trading partners, but their regional interests seriously differ on Syria.

Disagreements may also deepen on Ukraine and the Crimea, as well as on the problems in the South Caucasus. The four-day conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in April 2016 revealed that truce in the area is tenuous. It is possible that this kind of "trial of strength" will be the norm of the regional security. Given the strategic nature of the Azerbaijani-Turkish and Armenian-Russian relations, as well as special Russian interests in the Caucasus, there is a high risk of further escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The article discusses possible scenarios and ways to avoid the most dramatic of them.

About the author:

Sergey Markedonov, Associate Professor, Department of Regional Studies and Foreign Policy, Russian State University for the Humanities, Russia.

Related articles

Condition of the Russian Consumer: Recovery on the Horizon?
24.04.2017
Participants in the Valdai Club economic seminar held in Moscow on Monday believe that although inflation rate in Russia is record low, the prospects for a recovery in Russia’s household consumption

Category:
Club Events
The Light and Dark Sides of the Trump Administration
21.04.2017
In the early days of the Trump presidency, there were mixed but nevertheless balanced predictions in Russia regarding the foreign policy of the new administration. The statements coming from the White

Expert: 
Dmitry Suslov

Category:
Expert Opinions
Impressive and Unimpressive Great Power Diplomacy
19.04.2017
When the great powers make claims or demands which are manifestly unrealistic or incredible they reduce their own authority and make the resolution of international crises far more difficult. They

Category:
Expert Opinions